Bob ([info]says_bomb) wrote,

New Hampshire

Hmph. The media talking heads are crediting Hillary's better-than-predicted showing in NH (so far) to her display of emotion yesterday, saying it "humanized" her or some such.

Isn't it more likely that what moved people was disgust at the media's hyperattention to that moment? Based on what I've heard people saying, that seems more plausible to me.

[9:45pm] CNN has Clinton 39% to Obama 36% with 48% reporting. But I notice that Durham, Hanover, Plymouth have no results reported yet... Keene broke strong for Obama, Manchvegas & Nashua for Clinton.

[10:10pm] Kos points out, and CNN's exit poll page bears it out, there's a big gender gap. Not so in Iowa.

[10:40pm] AP calls it for Hillary Clinton. CNN still doesn't have those college towns up, but the TV is saying HC actually won in Durham and Hanover. Either way, with 67% reporting, she's up by about 6,000 votes. All of us voting on February 5th (yup, that includes Massachusetts), looks like it's still going to be a competitive race--on both sides!

[10:55pm] Thought that sounded weird. Hanover went for Obama 58% to 26%. I still don't see anything for Durham.

[11:15pm] Time for bed! The biggest losers in NH: Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, John Edwards, and Chris Matthews. Talk to you tomorrow.

[7:45am] Durham and Plymouth went strongly for Obama. With 96% reporting, Clinton's lead in votes has increased to nearly 8,000, but her percentage lead has shrunk to 2% (39% to 37%).
Tags: politics

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[info]applelucynot

January 9 2008, 02:52:02 UTC 4 years ago

Man, we should've delayed the condo closing so I could've voted in Manchvegas for Obama. Oh well. I'm too tired to wait up to see the results. I'll find out in the morning.

[info]says_bomb

January 9 2008, 02:53:03 UTC 4 years ago

Wait you sold it? When did that happen?!

[info]applelucynot

January 9 2008, 02:54:43 UTC 4 years ago

Yup. Yesterday. What a relief. But this now makes me an official Masshole again.

[info]says_bomb

January 9 2008, 02:56:42 UTC 4 years ago

Now I feel out of the loop. But welcome back!

[info]direckshun

January 9 2008, 03:40:18 UTC 4 years ago

The media talking heads have no earthly clue why Hillary is winning. They continued to pimp Obama even as Hillary lead him by a couple thousand votes through 20% precincts reporting. The disdain for her campaign among the MSM is incredibly obvious.

Hell, I was one of them. I thought this was a slam dunk for Obama.

I think it just boils down to the fact that Clinton campaigned like a machine in New Hampshire for months, won a lot of votes, and they were more resistant to the Obama Hope Train blasting off from Iowa than anyone expected them to be.

[info]says_bomb

January 9 2008, 03:46:15 UTC 4 years ago

I am surprised too! It's just too easy to give polls more credit than they deserve.

On the other hand, it /is/ nice to see NH do something other than rubber stamp Iowa.

[info]kreed

January 9 2008, 04:06:50 UTC 4 years ago

She campaigned, hard, and, frankly, he got a little cocky after Iowa. I'm glad the race will stay competetive at least through Feb 5 when half the country votes instead of the two small states.

As for Hanover/Durham/etc...College is still out. Were it in, perhaps the results would have been closer, and really, to me, theye still close enough that i'd say the only real loser in this was John Edwards.

[info]says_bomb

January 9 2008, 04:16:50 UTC 4 years ago

I agree with everything you say here. I can't wait to see the final counts tomorrow! For now, it's time for bed. Night!

[info]scratchtasia

January 9 2008, 16:10:56 UTC 4 years ago

I was glad when Clinton came in third in Iowa, but I'm not disappointed about last night's results. Both nights' results indicate that there will actually be a contest here, instead of the inevitable Clinton win (predicted for months before Iowa) or the Obama steamroller (predicted since last Thursday). And it's good to see some unpredictability and inconsistency on the Republican side as well. I despise media attempts to decide the race before anyone even votes.

At this point, my Feb. 5 vote will still go to Edwards. He got a disappointing percentage in NH, but the delegate count is still pretty close.

[info]says_bomb

January 9 2008, 16:22:51 UTC 4 years ago

Yeah, I think the wide open fields are great. (Especially because on the Repub side, it's due to coalition fracture, and on the Dem side, it's due to just an inability to pick one.)

This is what primaries are supposed to be: long slogs, a few states at a time. Not like in 2004 where Iowa basically wrapped everything up. This gives everyone time to dig into all the main candidates and see beyond the facades.
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